Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001448 0.001537 0.001628 0.001730 0.001839 0.001953 0.002082
2025-02-16 0.001353 0.001483 0.001622 0.001783 0.001965 0.002163 0.002398
2025-02-23 0.001252 0.001405 0.001574 0.001776 0.002011 0.002277 0.002603
2025-03-02 0.001152 0.001317 0.001503 0.001731 0.002004 0.002322 0.002724
2025-03-09 0.001077 0.001251 0.001451 0.001701 0.002008 0.002374 0.002849
2025-03-16 0.001027 0.001210 0.001425 0.001698 0.002040 0.002458 0.003014
2025-03-23 0.000977 0.001165 0.001390 0.001680 0.002051 0.002513 0.003142
2025-03-30 0.000938 0.001131 0.001366 0.001674 0.002074 0.002582 0.003290
2025-04-06 0.000895 0.001090 0.001330 0.001650 0.002072 0.002618 0.003394
2025-04-13 0.000854 0.001051 0.001295 0.001624 0.002065 0.002644 0.003483
2025-04-20 0.000805 0.000997 0.001239 0.001569 0.002015 0.002611 0.003487
2025-04-27 0.000788 0.000985 0.001236 0.001582 0.002058 0.002704 0.003672
2025-05-04 0.000769 0.000971 0.001232 0.001598 0.002110 0.002818 0.003903
2025-05-11 0.000766 0.000979 0.001257 0.001654 0.002220 0.003021 0.004279
2025-05-18 0.000740 0.000955 0.001238 0.001648 0.002243 0.003098 0.004472
2025-05-25 0.000704 0.000915 0.001196 0.001608 0.002213 0.003096 0.004539
2025-06-01 0.000675 0.000884 0.001165 0.001581 0.002200 0.003117 0.004644
2025-06-08 0.000656 0.000866 0.001151 0.001578 0.002222 0.003193 0.004840
2025-06-15 0.000634 0.000843 0.001129 0.001562 0.002223 0.003235 0.004983
2025-06-22 0.000617 0.000825 0.001114 0.001556 0.002239 0.003300 0.005168
2025-06-29 0.000595 0.000802 0.001090 0.001535 0.002231 0.003325 0.005284
2025-07-06 0.000575 0.000778 0.001064 0.001511 0.002216 0.003339 0.005382
2025-07-13 0.000547 0.000744 0.001023 0.001460 0.002157 0.003277 0.005339